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Bible Code II (Ivan Panin and Biblical Numerics)
(The Readings - March 1999)
Bro. Jack Robinson is a lecturer in statistics
at the University of Waterloo in Ontario, Canada. This months comments are prompted
by the occasional Christadelphian use of the work of Ivan Panin to prove the inspiration
of scripture. As Bro. Jack points out, we should not use Panins work to this end. -
Editor
Almost
two years ago, Michael Drosnin's book the Bible Code attracted a lot of media
attention. Although his "biblical discoveries" could not have been
"revealed" until the computer age, for centuries curious men have expended
considerable effort searching the scriptures for various coded messages from God.
Reflecting on the "success" of Drosnin and others, we can only sorrow
that they wasted so much time "discovering" ambiguous if not trivial
messages. How much better it would have been for them to have spent their time
concentrating and applying the Bibles outward message to their lives. Their
superficial familiarity with a coded scripture text has gained them but a moments
fame, instead of a share in the promises to Abraham that we seek.
Panin and his work
While these recent efforts have gained some headlines and our attention, Drosnin was
not the first to claim the Bible contained a hidden code. In 1882, Ivan Panin immigrated
to the United States and eventually to Ancaster, Ontario, from Russia. In 1890, he claimed
to have made a startling biblical discovery. It was not about hidden Bible messages,
rather it was about numerical patterns that he said permeated all inspired scripture but
not other literature. Panin publicized his discoveries in the New York Sun (Nov.
19, 1899), in a letter to the editor entitled: "The Inspiration of the Scriptures
Scientifically Demonstrated."
The patterns Panin discovered in scripture involved chiefly the number
seven. Had he placed an emphasis on almost any other number, it is doubtful if anyone
would have paid attention to his "discovery." His emphasis on seven
made his claims seem more believable because of the prominence of the number seven in the
plain text of scripture, especially the increased frequency in the Revelation.
Yet consider that although numerical patterns of seven are very
numerous in the scriptures, those based on lesser numbers would be expected to occur with
even greater frequency. One out of three features examined could be expected to yield a
pattern of threes, while only one out of seven would be expected to yield sevens. (For
example: in every verse the total number of words is divisible by 1; in every other verse
it is divisible by 2; in every third verse you would expect the words to be divisible by
three, 3,6,9,12; in every fourth verse by four, 4,8,12,16; etc.). Consider then a sample
of the evidence Panin advances for the inspiration of scriptures. Also bear in mind that
for every seven features he inspects, one would be expected to succeed (i.e., involve a
multiple of seven).
An example from Matthew 1
Matthew 1:18-25, is a passage about the birth of Christ. Panin informs us (we can
check for ourselves, he says, though his calculations are complex and subjective) that
this passage (in Greek) contains 161 words, or 23 sevens (feature 1), which occur in 105
forms, or 15 sevens (feature 2), with a vocabulary of 77 words, itself 11 sevens (feature
3), with the sum of its figures 14, or 2 sevens (feature 4), divided between the units and
tens by seven (feature 5) etc. Eventually after enumerating ten features involving the
number seven, Panin says this is sufficient to establish that there is a numerical design
embedded in the Greek text (i.e. sufficient evidence to consider the passage inspired).
Most of these features are difficult for an amateur to check. The
number of words refers to the Greek words; classification into vocabulary, forms and
figures require a knowledge of Greek, and compilations of this data are subject to the
investigators discretion. Thus, the ordinary reader cannot verify any but the
simplest feature of the reported pattern of sevens. Moreover, Panin warns the reader that
there are many pitfalls into which the inexperienced handler of Bible numerics is likely
to fall. In particular, to verify any but the simplest of features requires the authentic
Greek text which Panin himself published: The Numeric Greek New Testament (1934).
Although Panin is correct in restricting the investigation to the
original Greek, the necessity of a set vocabulary (his) again gives him a high profile in
identification of features involving vocabulary words. Oddly enough, the vocabulary he
arrives at for the NT contains 5,304 words (not a multiple of 7) while Strong lists 5,523
words (789 sevens) in his Strongs Concordance. Thus to begin the layman must
decide which is the true vocabulary (Panins or Strongs).
Examining the Old Testament evidence
For the Hebrew things are no better. Take for example the opening words of scripture
(necessarily given in English).
Genesis 1:1 "In the beginning God created the heaven and the
earth."
In Hebrew this verse contains 7 words (feature 1) that have 14
syllables (feature 2) and 28 letters (feature 3). Words containing the subject and
predicate have 14 letters and the last four words the object (feature 4). This time Panin
persists until he has discovered 25 features (some rather exotic) involving seven. To
Panin this outcome was absolute proof of its inspiration.
How was Panin able to find 25 features in such a short passage? The
answer is that he probably examined many more and reported only those that succeeded.
Theoretically to find 25 he need only to have examined a total of 175 features since by
chance one in seven would succeed. Counting any feature of seven he finds (the number of
possibilities is large) he is certain to succeed in finding ten features with any passage
of reasonable length. Finding the 25 features of Genesis 1:1 would not require an
unreasonable effort for someone so convinced that God had purposely placed the pattern of
sevens in inspired text. In fact, in 40 years, Panin was able to cover a lot of the
scriptures and he produced some 40,000 pages of numeric notes.
Panin's findings would be more striking if what he found in each verse
followed the same pattern. Yet Genesis 1:2 contains 52 letters (not a multiple of 7) and
he fails to find many of the features belonging to the pattern of Genesis 1:1. Should we
then conclude Genesis 1:2 is not inspired or did God set out a different numerical pattern
in verse two? Since Panin had so many features of seven to choose from, he would quickly
find his self-imposed ten features of seven in almost any verse.
Going too far
Eventually Panins research led him to claim that numerics (as he called it) was
capable of establishing whether or not any passage of scripture was inspired. The proof
Panin said was based on the fact that inspired scriptures contained so many patterns of
seven that the probability of it happening by chance was extremely small. Not a page,
paragraph or sentence in the whole Bible, he said, fails to show elaborate numeric
designs. Yet what he found was not all that impressive since frequently to find ten
patterns of seven, a sufficient number to claim that it was inspired, it required
investigating approximately 70 features.
What is extremely objectionable about Panins methodology is that
he multiplies reciprocals of numbers together to obtain what he claims are the probability
of the features he finds occurring by chance. Thus if there are seven words in a verse
(feature 1) and 14 syllables (feature 2) the chance of this happening is 1/7 x 1/7 = 1/49.
So if 10 features are discovered, Panin suggests the odds of this occurring is
1/282,475,249; furthermore Panin suggests that these odds (less than one in a hundred
million) are sufficient to establish the text as inspired.
As a result of applying false assumptions, the probabilities obtained
by Panin are considerably lower than the actual probabilities (if in fact we are justified
in using the term probability in Panins context and especially with Gods
word). Thus what Panin perceives to be irrefutable evidence for inspiration because of the
low probability of the features he identifies, are not nearly as improbable as he would
have us believe. If they were this improbable, it would be fair to ask how he found them
in the first place. Since he found so many, they must be common and a little common sense
tells us that one in seven features he examined would be a multiple of seven.
An everyday example
For example, when I began to write this article I was sitting in a blue chair (1 of 28
- 4 x 7 - chairs in our house - feature 1) on a Tuesday (one of 7 days in the week -
feature 2). Counting the dogs, there were seven present (feature 3). There were 14 light
bulbs in the room (feature 4). The computer used for word processing this article had 28
normal sized keys in the upper two rows (feature 5). So according to Panins
reasoning, if I wanted to continue finding a sufficiently large list of features of seven
(he says 10 is enough), the probability of my writing this article under these "unusual"
circumstances would be extremely small. No one I know would consider this analysis to
be a convincing argument, yet Panin's analysis of Bible numerics has much in common with
the above.
Reaching wrong conclusions
Panin is convinced, however, that this method works and even states the following in
his Introduction to The Numeric Greek New Testament page xxix: "The reader
may now be prepared to be told that not a single question can be raised about the text of
the Bible but can be settled by Bible numerics. Thus, in the absence of punctuation in the
manuscripts, numerics alone give certainty where the contents leaves in many cases the
proper place of a comma doubtful."
Panin illustrates his "magic" using a passage from
Luke: "Verily I say unto thee to day thou shalt be with me in paradise"
(Luke 23:43). By placing the comma after "thee," Panin finds an unusual
pattern of sixes, elevens and nineteens in the phrase "today thou shalt be with
me in paradise." However, if the comma is placed after "today," the
absence of any numeric pattern enables Panin to say the comma must be placed after "thee."
For one who believes in heaven going this would undoubtedly be the "right"
answer. For those who put their faith in the promises to Abraham, this is yet another
indication that Panin's numeric method cant be trusted.
There are many reasons to regard this type of searching of Gods
Holy word as a waste of time and perhaps even blasphemous. Nowhere do the scriptures
suggest that a study of numerics can enrich our faith or establish inspiration. Instead
they make the claim directly: "All scripture is given by inspiration of God, and
is profitable for doctrine, for reproof, for correction, for instruction in
righteousness" (II Tim. 3:16).
Surely Paul would also have mentioned the use of Bible numerics to
Timothy if it were of any value.
Jack Robinson |