Russian inflation
Most of North America has been experiencing steady and consistent growth this past
decade. For the most part inflation had been kept in check, never exceeding a rate of five
percent. Unfortunately in Russia, things are very different. The Toronto Star reported,
December 31, 1998, that the 1998 rate of inflation hit a mind-boggling 84% in Russia.
Expressed in laymens terms, this means that if an individual had $100 in savings at
the beginning of the year, its purchasing power would be equivalent to $12 at end of the
year.
The Star reported: "Russian inflation, which appeared
under control until a financial crisis struck last summer, hit 84% for 1998. With Russia
still mired in crisis, many private economists expect the rate for 1999 to be as high, if
not higher. In preparing the 1999 federal budget, Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakovs
government has forecast inflation at 30%. but many analysts regard this as overly
optimistic. Russia suffered from hyperinflation for several years after it moved to a
market economy in 1992, but the government seemed to be taming inflation in recent years.
The rate was 11% in 1997 and the government was expecting single-digit inflation for 1998
until the financial crisis struck in August. Since then, the Russian currency has lost
much of its value, the government has effectively defaulted on some of its debts and the
economy has been shrinking. The economy contracted about 5% in 1998 and Russia remains
trapped in one of the worst depressions ever experienced by an industrialized
nation."
To compound matters a Russian court recently declared one of the
countrys largest banks bankrupt, clearing the way for the first liquidation of a
major bank since the August crisis. The unfortunate aspect of this bankruptcy is that
there is no equivalent in Russia of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or the
Canadian Deposit Insurance Corporation. This means that all deposits on record were lost.
Instead of reimbursing the depositors, merely the creditors were reimbursed, for pennies
on the ruble.
The new Euro - "Euroka"
Newspaper headlines reported that: "From Wars Ashes, A Single
Future." What started as a thought by Winston Churchill in 1946, when he called
for a United States of Europe, has taken another major step toward reality.
On January 1, 1999, 11 nations in Europe formed together to start
trading in a new currency now referred to as the Euro. The New York Times reported,
January 2, 1999: "Though Euro notes and coins will not enter circulation until
2002, European banks and stock exchanges are required to carry out transactions in Euros
as soon as markets open Monday. Instead of pricing and trading stocks in 11 currencies,
traders will suddenly have to do so in just one. Brokers computer systems will have
to calculate stock valuations like price-earnings ratios in Euros even if the company
still reports its earnings in marks or lira."
Obstacles to trade and investment across borders continue to fall
before the European Unions campaign to build a single market roughly the size of the
American economy.
The Euro history
This "United States of Europe" took its first step to reality in
1957, when West Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg set up the
European Economic Community. In 1972, European leaders agreed to pursue a common economic
and monetary system and created the European Currency Unit. In 1986 an agreement was
reached on a tariff-free internal market to be established for all members of the European
Community by the end of 1992. In 1991, at the Maastrich summit meeting in the Netherlands,
agreement was reached on a European Central Bank and a common currency to start by 1999,
for eligible nations. In 1998, 11 countries decided to introduce a common currency in
January, 1999. Today, this thought has become a reality. It is the plan of the founders of
the Maastrich treaty to increase trading and thus make the entire European economy
stronger and more vibrant.
It has been stated by many Bible students that the formation of the
European economic community parallels Daniels prophecies concerning the latter days.
In describing the period following that of the Roman empire, the prophecy states:
"Whereas you saw the feet and toes, partly of potters clay and partly of iron,
the kingdom shall be divided; yet the strength of the iron shall be in it, just as you saw
the iron mixed with ceramic clay. And as the toes of the feet were partly of iron and
partly of clay, so the kingdom shall be partly strong and partly fragile" (Dan.
2:41, 42). While these nations form a single unit in many ways, they remain distinct
entities in many others. Could this be the condition described by Daniel?
Similarly, the economic despair currently gripping Russia might well
induce her to plunge headlong into war to regain wealth and prestige.
We continue to warn ourselves to be alert and to continue our prayers
that the time will be short to the coming of our Lord.